The Curve – Day 9, Thoughts About The Pandemic

Death Toll Still Rising in Most Countries

Daily thoughts & numbers on the COVID-19 pandemic from a M.D. working in the front lines at the Emergency Department in a hospital in Stockholm, Sweden. 

Woke up 30 minutes ago, it’s 20 pm here and I’m off to my fourth night shift in a row at the ER. Since I’m short on time for writing today’s post, this one is a short post with some take home messages from Financial Times page on the latest numbers on Covid-19: *

  • The human costs of the coronavirus outbreak continue to mount, with more than 917,000 people infected globally. The number of people confirmed to have died from the virus has now surpassed 46,000. 

  • More than ten countries are now seeing weekly death tolls in the hundreds or even thousands, and in all but a handful of cases those numbers are still going up.

  • The world’s new urban epicentre is New York, where each day brings more coronavirus deaths than the last. The state’s death toll is rising faster than in any other subnational region at this stage of its outbreak.

For Europe and the US the worst seems yet to come.

COVID-19 Numbers Sweden 2020-04-02 *

  • 282 deaths nationally
    • 164 of them in Stockholm
  • 5 466 confirmed cases nationally
    2fhm
    New confirmed cases daily in Sweden. 
    (Number of COVID-19 cases over time in Sweden, updates during mornings at 14:00 so todays numbers are not yet complete until the next day).
    2fhmk
    New confirmed cases accumulated over time in Sweden. 
    (Number of COVID-19 cases over time in Sweden, updates during mornings at 14:00 so todays numbers are not yet complete until the next day).
  • Intensive care Sweden*
    • 445 COVID-19 confirmed patients treated in the ICU in total so far
    • 9,8 days from symptoms to ICU
    • 24,5 % women
      1SIR
      Total number of recorded of COVID-19 patients needing ICU care each week. From Week 10 it seems to more than triple each week, 5 →  24  → 130 → 418 → (558 this week up until now, however since it’s only thursday this weeks numbers are yet incomplete)

COVID-19 Numbers Globally (updated today 2020-04-02 at 10:00 CET) *

  • 45 526 confirmed deaths
  • 896 450 confirmed cases
  • 205 countries, areas or territories with cases

Financial Times New Deaths Per Day Selected Countries (updated yesterday 2020-04-01 at 19:00 GMT) *

2ft

Image: Death Tolls are Still Accelerating in Most Countries (Updated 2020-01-01) *

1ftaccel

That’s it until tomorrow, keep calm and stay safe!

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