Amat Victoria Curam – Day 11, Thoughts About The Pandemic

Preparation

Daily thoughts & numbers on the COVID-19 pandemic from a M.D. working in the front lines at the Emergency Department in a hospital in Stockholm, Sweden. 

Amat victoria curam‘ – its latin for ‘Victory Loves Preparation‘.

Long after the COVID crisis is over there is considerable amount of data review and analysis left to do for the NGOs and global governments to help us be prepared for the next virus.

Because this will happen again.

This graph of number of critical care beds in Europe paints the picture, Sweden ranks in the bottom: *

Numbers of critical care beds corrected for size of population (per 100,000 inhabitants) for European countries  

Prior Preparation Prevents Poor Performance – also called the five P’s, is an idiom that was our mantra during my military service.

There is sometimes a sixth ‘P’ added to the idiom above: Prior Preparation Prevents Piss Poor Performance.

There is no doubt that our performance in Sweden been piss poor due to the lack of good preparation.

This graph of number of total hospital beds in Europe paints the picture, Sweden ranks, again, in the bottom: *

Chart: Germany Leads Europe In Hospital Bed Capacity | Statista

For years politicians, against the the alarms and opposition of the healthcare profession, have been dismantling our hospitals, our emergencies, and our intensive care units.

One can hope that they will do their risk-analysis properly this time around.

One can hope the era of just in time is partially over and the value of just in case again becomes apparent.

We MUST be better prepared next time.

Amat Victoria Curam.

COVID-19 Numbers Sweden 2020-04-04 *

  • 373 deaths nationally
    • 230 of them in Stockholm
  • 6 443 confirmed cases nationally
    DEATHS [SWE]
    4fhmdNew confirmed deaths daily in Sweden. 
    (Number of COVID-19 cases over time in Sweden, updates during mornings at 14:00 so todays numbers are not yet complete until the next day).
    ICU [SWE]
    4fhmi
    New Covid-19 patients Being Treated at the ICU in Sweden. 

    (Number of COVID-19 cases over time in Sweden, updates during mornings at 14:00 so todays numbers are not yet complete until the next day).
    NEW CONFIRMED CASES [SWE]  
    4fhm
    New confirmed cases daily in Sweden.
    (Number of COVID-19 cases over time in Sweden, updates during mornings at 14:00 so todays numbers are not yet complete until the next day).
    TOTAL CONFIRMED CASES [SWE]  
    4fhmk
    New confirmed cases accumulated over time in Sweden. 
    (Number of COVID-19 cases over time in Sweden, updates during mornings at 14:00 so todays numbers are not yet complete until the next day).
  • Intensive care Sweden*
    • 520 COVID-19 confirmed patients treated in the ICU in total so far
    • 10,0 days from symptoms to ICU
    • 24,8 % women
      3sir
      Total number of recorded of COVID-19 patients needing ICU care each week. From Week 10 it seems to more than triple each week for the last 4 weeks, 5 →  24  → 130 → 421 → (641 this week up until now, however since it’s only saturday this weeks numbers are yet incomplete)

COVID-19 Numbers Globally (updated today 2020-04-04 at 10:00 CET) *

  • 56 985 confirmed deaths
  • 1 051 635 confirmed cases
  • 207 countries, areas or territories with cases

Image: Projection of COVID-19 Deaths in USA by August 4th (With Interventions) *

modelusa

That’s it until tomorrow, keep calm and stay safe!

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